Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 67.383979 76.173475 85.166673 95.023480 105.491196 116.246242 128.102077
2025-10-26 53.494153 66.045659 79.482157 94.800076 111.651332 129.508964 149.751572
2025-11-02 45.527453 60.152699 76.345071 95.322795 116.699124 139.806090 166.455004
2025-11-09 38.650689 54.545526 72.712501 94.543374 119.643742 147.233840 179.506983
2025-11-16 33.624494 50.482053 70.318421 94.683820 123.190968 154.961904 192.553646
2025-11-23 28.870123 46.239512 67.292838 93.713923 125.142180 160.620581 203.038951
2025-11-30 25.914982 43.946952 66.368739 95.013369 129.545880 168.926604 216.394931
2025-12-07 23.481489 42.085913 65.785597 96.561572 134.111102 177.317019 229.765115
2025-12-14 20.305825 38.922022 63.325164 95.612718 135.538080 181.931276 238.681354
2025-12-21 17.170522 35.501855 60.297081 93.756964 135.706311 184.937442 245.620221
2025-12-28 16.348934 35.353754 61.530119 97.246417 142.364963 195.600637 261.488238
2026-01-04 15.065162 34.387034 61.576135 99.150136 147.025157 203.855110 274.512391
2026-01-11 13.039942 32.105052 59.728376 98.551739 148.573683 208.413050 283.243533
2026-01-18 11.244060 29.995579 57.992347 98.003884 150.117799 212.922386 291.892099
2026-01-25 9.961930 28.596570 57.168883 98.592230 153.038004 219.056506 302.441776
2026-02-01 8.456316 26.617884 55.380643 97.788199 154.114981 222.892686 310.205095
2026-02-08 7.342975 25.206343 54.340117 97.933017 156.357906 228.121113 319.613319
2026-02-15 6.106520 23.369776 52.540570 96.944210 157.069906 231.416364 326.655070
2026-02-22 5.468300 22.653041 52.422684 98.268630 160.773788 238.403181 338.158323
2026-03-01 4.936457 22.087191 52.502677 99.846325 164.794611 245.777377 350.132088
2026-03-08 4.022418 20.496926 50.844322 98.879417 165.408580 248.863762 356.859744
2026-03-15 3.092166 18.631672 48.608419 96.988123 164.725529 250.272456 361.496723
2026-03-22 3.023101 18.980221 50.098601 100.544154 171.346675 260.899557 377.453708